Improving Machine Learning Prediction of Peatlands Fire Occurrence for Unbalanced Data Using SMOTE Approach

Rosadi, Dedi and Arisanty, Deasy and Peiris, Shelton and Agustina, Dina and Dowe, David and Fang, Zheng (2021) Improving Machine Learning Prediction of Peatlands Fire Occurrence for Unbalanced Data Using SMOTE Approach. In: International Conference on Data Science, Artificial Intelligence, and Business Analytics (DATABIA), 2021, Universitas Sumatra Utara.

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Abstract

From our previous study, we have known that only a small number of literatures have studied peatlands fire modeling in Indonesia. It is including our recent study on the prediction of the forest fire occurrence in the peatlands area using some machine learning classification techniques. In the previous empirical study using data from South Kalimantan Province in Indonesia, we found that the datasets are unbalanced between the two classes of data, i.e., the occurrence of fire hotspots and the nonoccurrence of fire hotspots areas. In this paper, the performance of the classification method is improved, by balancing the data using what so called Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE). In the empirical results, we show the performance of the classification results on the balanced data are mixed. It is found that only using the ensemble AdaBoost with SMOTE balanced data the performance of the methods has always been improved over unbalanced data, either for in-sample or for out-sample cases. The open-source software R is used for implementation of the methods. Keywords: peatlands fire, classification methods, balanced data, unbalanced data, SMOTE

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Additional Information: Penulis: Dedi Rosadi, Deasy Arisanty, Widyastuti Andriyani, Shelton Peiris, Dina Agustina, David Dowe, dan Zheng Fang
Uncontrolled Keywords: eatlands fire, classification methods, balanced data, unbalanced data, SMOTE
Subjects: A Karya Umum (General) > Ilmu Komputer (Computer Science) > Kecerdasan Buatan (Artificial Intelegence)
Divisions: Prosiding (Proceedings)
Depositing User: Titis Pratiwi
Date Deposited: 03 Apr 2023 06:46
Last Modified: 03 Apr 2023 06:46
URI: http://eprints.utdi.ac.id/id/eprint/9964

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